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Webinar Economics: Working Backwards to Determine ROI
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By Patrick Cahill

There’s a spirit of optimism and growth in the air represented by a shift in thinking. Prospects are not (just) asking, “How much do webinars cost?” They’re asking, “Does it make economic sense for us to do webinars?” That's an important question.

While some companies lend themselves to a quick answer of "no" and others a "yes," many firms fall somewhere in between. Determining if webinars are the perfect tool to drive growth for your firm is not as simple as, “If you have a list of this size,” or, “If your clients are worth this much.” It involves an examination of many factors.

Below is the exact process we used to determine if an aggressive webinar campaign would work for a client. Spoiler alert: It did.

Step 1: Determine Growth Goals.

How much would you like to grow this year? Our client gave the typical response: "By as much as we can."

After evaluating their overall marketing plan together, we concluded that webinars would be a win if they could increase revenue by 15%.

With the end goal set, we began determining 1) what it will take to get there and 2) if it makes economic sense.

Step 2: Collect the Data.

This takes significantly more time than Step 1. There are a number of variables to review:

  • Existing lead generation volume
  • Lead to qualified lead ratio
  • Qualified lead to proposal ratio
  • Proposal win ratio
  • Average proposal size
  • Potential for further engagements after initial proposal
Based on these numbers, determine the value of each new lead. For our client, that was $30-$60. Each qualified lead was worth $300-$600.

Step 3: Work Backwards.

In this instance, our goal was to increase our client's revenue by 15%. Based on the average initial engagement, 25 new clients through the webinar initiative were needed.

With the desired new client count, the next figure to determine was the number of leads required to generate enough conversations that would result in the quanity of opportunities needed. The plan included multiple webinars, so we divided this number of leads by the number of webinars. The required number of registrations per event was clear.

This is somewhat simplistic if you consider your sales cycle. For example: If you absolutely need the sales to occur within the next twelve months and you have a three-month sales cycle, you'll need to generate all the leads by month nine to allow for the sales process to take its course.

Our client will need about 40 qualified leads per webinar to drive 25 new clients. The webinar marketing planning may begin.

Step 4: The Marketing Plan.

With the number of leads our client required (40), it's time to determine how to get that number to register for the webinars.

We reviewed the following numbers:
  • Client house list size
  • Expected registration rate - we use a rule of thumb of around 2% if e-mail marketing is the sole tactic
  • Lead to qualified lead ratio
Our client has a large house list which supports their webinar lead generation needs. For some high-value targets, light calling support may be added to the invitation process to increase registration rates. These targets have a higher average value than the general pool of qualified prospects (for numerous reasons).

If the numbers do not add up based on the above variables, you have a number of choices. You can look at spending energy on:
  • Increasing the size of your list
  • Improving the proportion of qualified leads on the list
  • Generating higher registration rates among those invited
  • Decreasing the cost of delivering webinars
If you can not make this part of the equation work, it may suggest delivering webinars are not a cost-effective solution.

You may consider on-demand webinars, which are less compelling for marketing outreach campaigns but more affordable to implement due to savings around technology, support, and marketing.

The Full Equation

Here's an equation that will allow you to determine what your numbers may look like and/or identify areas that will need improvement to drive desired results:

List size * Anticipated Registration Percentage
Lead Generated to Qualified Lead Percentage * Qualified Lead to Proposal Percentage

Proposal to Win Percentage * Average Proposal Size
Revenue!

Note: You can experiment with this equation right now. Click here to download an Excel file that has an interactive version of this equation.

Using the equation and Excel sheet provided, you'll be able to determine under which scenarios webinars make economic sense.


Patrick R. Cahill is a principal at Rally Point Webinars who specializes in marketing, business operations, and CRMs. Click here to email Patrick.